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Prediction markets for Nanded
Prediction markets for Nanded
WhiteBox Research will solve at least four of Neel Nanda's Concrete Open Problems by the end of September 2024.
Jun 20, 12:04 PM
Sep 30, 3:59 PM
53.47%
chance
3
117
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1072
933
Will Neel Nanda's or Lee Sharkey's SERI MATS streams (Summer 2023) produce a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication?
Jul 23, 9:01 PM
Dec 31, 11:30 AM
31.03%
chance
18
1500
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1069
902
Will mechanistic/transformer interpretability [eg Neel Nanda] end up affecting p(doom) more than 5%?
Sep 18, 7:15 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.78%
chance
2
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
70
If Lisa Nandy is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Labour Party win?
Apr 20, 4:38 PM
Jan 24, 12:00 AM
54.75%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
130
111
Will Neel Nanda receive a Turing Prize by EOY 2050?
Nov 7, 8:46 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
15.3%
chance
4
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
184
79
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Mumbai Sees Heavy Rain, IMD Issues Orange Alert for Next 24 Hours
Authors
6
17 days
India
World
PM Modi Criticizes Rahul Gandhi's Wayanad Candidacy and Veiled Digs at Sonia Gandhi in Nanded, Maharashtra
Authors
14
2 months
India
World
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