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Prediction markets for Museum
Prediction markets for Museum
Will at least 5 new frog species be described / discovered in the year 2024 by the Natural History Museum in the UK?
Dec 29, 5:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
71.7%
chance
22
358
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1131
926
Will at least 200 Benin Bronzes go from the British Museum to Nigeria before 2030?
May 26, 2:17 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
41.09%
chance
5
70
Option
Votes
YES
NO
176
125
Will at least 100 new wasp species be described / discovered in the year 2024 by the Natural History Museum in the UK?
Dec 29, 5:00 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
69%
chance
8
139
Option
Votes
NO
YES
195
152
How many days will it take me to fill my Animal Crossing Museum
Nov 13, 6:35 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
80.09%
chance
6
215
Option
Votes
NO
YES
425
302
Will at least 50 new beetle species be described / discovered in the year 2024 by the Natural History Museum in the UK?
Nov 26, 3:08 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
68.16%
chance
7
160
Option
Votes
NO
YES
132
119
On release, which of these prompts will OpenAI's Sora follow without obvious flaws?
Feb 15, 9:57 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
43
1792
Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]
Jul 7, 3:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
21.33%
chance
22
817
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1381
802
The Rosetta Stone disappears, is stolen, or lost through 2031
Aug 31, 5:07 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
10.25%
chance
5
167
Option
Votes
YES
NO
223
119
One or more Isabella Stewart Gardner artworks retrieved before 2033
Dec 27, 4:12 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
35.7%
chance
3
40
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
75
Articles
Latest stories
President Droupadi Murmu Witnesses Joint Service Operational Demonstration at Radhanagar Beach in Andaman and Nicobar Islands
Authors
6
5 months
India
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