Mon News

UK General Election: Which party will win Ynys Mon (Anglesey)?

Jan 4, 11:29 AMJul 4, 10:59 PM

6111

Will Space’s timecube ad lead to >1 month of attic stay?

Jun 8, 1:15 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.53%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

10106

9895

Will I lose 20+ lbs after taking semaglutide for 3 months?

Jun 18, 6:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.03%chance

9122247

OptionVotes

YES

11197

9269

Will a quantum computer break AES256 encryption in the next 12 month?

Nov 2, 7:35 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

3.26%chance

501047290

OptionVotes

YES

1433

934

Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?

Oct 26, 5:58 PMNov 6, 5:59 AM

45.7%chance

8617939

OptionVotes

YES

1945

945

Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

Jan 2, 3:23 AMDec 2, 5:59 AM

61.2%chance

21512668

OptionVotes

YES

5239

4210

In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Feb 20, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70%chance

41474361

OptionVotes

YES

3175

1920

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Apr 16, 9:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.39%chance

29661

OptionVotes

YES

1338

928

Will Scarlett Johansson receive money from OpenAI as a settlement, compensation, or damages by the end of 2024?

May 20, 10:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.72%chance

435109233

OptionVotes

YES

8458

5209

🏟️ Major Sporting Events

Mar 31, 9:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10988824

OpenAI will launch an audio only smart home device in the next twelve months

May 14, 3:59 AMMay 15, 6:59 AM

28.34%chance

804003

OptionVotes

YES

3720

3379

Will the CoolFold Financial Portfolio outperform the S&P 500 over the next 6 months?

Apr 27, 6:32 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM

62.58%chance

281170

OptionVotes

YES

1377

674

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Mon News

Prediction markets for Mon

Prediction markets for Mon

Prediction markets for Mon

UK General Election: Which party will win Ynys Mon (Anglesey)?

Will Space’s timecube ad lead to >1 month of attic stay?

Will I lose 20+ lbs after taking semaglutide for 3 months?

Will a quantum computer break AES256 encryption in the next 12 month?

Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?

Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Scarlett Johansson receive money from OpenAI as a settlement, compensation, or damages by the end of 2024?

🏟️ Major Sporting Events

OpenAI will launch an audio only smart home device in the next twelve months

Will the CoolFold Financial Portfolio outperform the S&P 500 over the next 6 months?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Mon

Prediction markets for Mon

Prediction markets for Mon

UK General Election: Which party will win Ynys Mon (Anglesey)?

Will Space’s timecube ad lead to >1 month of attic stay?

Will I lose 20+ lbs after taking semaglutide for 3 months?

Will a quantum computer break AES256 encryption in the next 12 month?

Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?

Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?