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Prediction markets for Martin

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74.45%chance

441937

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1457

768

Will Martin Shkreli join Manifold before 2025?

Jul 6, 7:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.39%chance

15027294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2854

1891

Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive

Sep 22, 5:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.58%chance

314035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

837

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

84.39%chance

381967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1611

1192

Will George R.R. Martin finish Winds of Winter by the end of 2024?

Oct 10, 12:30 PMJan 1, 4:00 AM

29%chance

569959

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

902

Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)

Jan 17, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.81%chance

15399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

964

Will George R. R. Martin or his publisher announce the completion of Winds of Winter before September 2024?

Jun 12, 2:32 AMSep 2, 5:59 AM

27.59%chance

7423559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1620

617

Will the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire be published before George R. R. Martin dies?

Jul 24, 10:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.92%chance

676488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

880

Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?

Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM

63.64%chance

855539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

977

960

Will Martin Shkreli pay @Domer ~$30,000 USD as a result of their bet by the end of 2024?

Jun 18, 5:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.1%chance

4512953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1353

750

Will Destiny talk to Martin Shkreli during 2024?

Jan 1, 10:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.29%chance

271800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1600

576

Will Lockheed Martin deny that it was in possession of UFOs before the end of 2024?

Dec 11, 12:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.38%chance

13433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

968

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