Market Streets News

Will IKEA announce the closure of its SF market street location before Jan 1, 2025.

Sep 27, 10:26 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM

26%chance

10420

OptionVotes

YES

1145

916

Will there be a Wall Street Stock Market Crash before 2027?

Nov 6, 11:11 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

48.77%chance

11352

OptionVotes

YES

1035

959

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.91%chance

13377

OptionVotes

YES

1255

924

Will the City of San Francisco revert the car-free policy on Market Street by the end of 2024?

Dec 11, 6:17 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

8.11%chance

7288

OptionVotes

YES

458

104

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.64%chance

837526090

OptionVotes

YES

11105

8908

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Mar 21, 11:45 AMJul 15, 4:59 AM

4.64%chance

2755235

OptionVotes

YES

74476

15605

Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?

Jun 11, 12:15 AMAug 13, 4:59 AM

10.28%chance

5725913

OptionVotes

YES

29479

3521

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

69.6%chance

755140

OptionVotes

YES

2075

1529

Will I fail at navigation in an embarrassing way in 2024?

Jan 19, 5:26 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

70%chance

18981

OptionVotes

YES

2094

1668

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Sep 20, 7:29 PMJun 29, 3:59 AM

52.67%chance

5230597

OptionVotes

YES

1314

1119

What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Feb 28, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14635229

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?

Mar 9, 3:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.9%chance

7410062

OptionVotes

YES

1632

1394

Latest stories

Philadelphia Police Investigate Multiple Weekend Shootings, Including Teens and AK-47 Incident in West Philadelphia
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Market Streets News

Prediction markets for Market Streets

Prediction markets for Market Streets

Prediction markets for Market Streets

Will IKEA announce the closure of its SF market street location before Jan 1, 2025.

Will there be a Wall Street Stock Market Crash before 2027?

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the City of San Francisco revert the car-free policy on Market Street by the end of 2024?

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Will I fail at navigation in an embarrassing way in 2024?

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Market Streets

Prediction markets for Market Streets

Prediction markets for Market Streets

Will IKEA announce the closure of its SF market street location before Jan 1, 2025.

Will there be a Wall Street Stock Market Crash before 2027?

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the City of San Francisco revert the car-free policy on Market Street by the end of 2024?

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?