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Main Line News
Prediction markets for Main Line
Prediction markets for Main Line
Will the pre-clinical results on the cancer drug AOH1996 be broadly confirmed by independent team(s)?
Aug 3, 12:23 PM
Aug 3, 9:59 PM
25.67%
chance
30
3447
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1325
806
Will Rootclaim change their COVID origins probability by at least 30% by end of 2024?
Feb 18, 12:52 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
13.87%
chance
11
567
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1119
959
Will a major Australian bank report their AI expenditure as a separate line item in their financial reports in 2024?
Apr 27, 2:18 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
44.49%
chance
4
27
Option
Votes
YES
NO
191
170
How will GiveWell's 2027 *Program* salary expenses compare to 2022's?
Dec 3, 7:34 PM
Jul 1, 2:59 AM
2
30
Will manifold add the ability to write market description in markdown in UI in 2024
Jan 5, 6:22 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
53.56%
chance
3
28
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
108
Will a new official English translation of the Kara no Kyoukai / The Garden of SInners novels be announced before 2026?
Feb 26, 1:22 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
43.87%
chance
5
43
Option
Votes
YES
NO
151
130
[Metaculus] If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?
Oct 7, 1:16 PM
Jan 3, 9:00 PM
13.27%
chance
5
155
Option
Votes
YES
NO
265
58
Will ALL of New England vote as a unified bloc in the 2024?
Oct 6, 5:53 PM
Nov 6, 4:59 AM
34%
chance
7
216
Option
Votes
YES
NO
194
151
[Metaculus] If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?
Jan 13, 4:21 PM
Jan 4, 5:00 PM
61%
chance
4
35
Option
Votes
NO
YES
119
102
🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What is the most likely future of Israel/Palestine: a one-state or two-state solution?
Nov 13, 7:01 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
62
3854
Will Alecto the Ninth be released in 2024?
Mar 31, 2:39 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
31.86%
chance
5
95
Option
Votes
YES
NO
199
101
Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!
Mar 9, 8:51 PM
0
0
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