HI News

How many of the top 7 Democrat-voting states / district from 2020 will vote D in 2024? (DC, VT, MA, MD, HI, CA, NY)

Oct 14, 3:26 PMNov 7, 4:59 AM

6759

Will Kalawao County, HI, be the most Democratic county in 2024?

Jan 13, 6:29 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

37.17%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

Hi

Oct 29, 12:46 AM

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.33%chance

29384551903

OptionVotes

YES

12484

9604

Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP)

Jul 31, 6:53 PMJul 19, 6:59 AM

16303147161

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Apr 13, 10:30 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

23%chance

1586789997

OptionVotes

YES

18174

9179

Will the 400B+ open source Llama 3 model rank higher than GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09 on the lmsys leaderboard?

Aug 28, 2:56 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

60.36%chance

20254498

OptionVotes

YES

32280

21687

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Jan 2, 8:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.95%chance

225178107

OptionVotes

YES

19102

13307

Will I be diagnosed with high-functioning autism before 2025?

Jun 2, 6:13 PMApr 15, 6:59 AM

61.48%chance

7975

OptionVotes

YES

18422

16800

Does listening to music lead to higher utility?

Jun 27, 6:22 PMJul 27, 9:59 PM

25.5%chance

1452028

OptionVotes

YES

17079

5865

Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?

Jun 10, 9:14 AMJul 3, 10:59 PM

94%chance

1830458

OptionVotes

YES

40088

2800

Will Bitcoin hit $100K by Mar 31, 2025?

Jan 10, 5:37 AMApr 1, 6:59 AM

25%chance

295896

OptionVotes

YES

1212

903

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HI News

Prediction markets for HI

Prediction markets for HI

Prediction markets for HI

How many of the top 7 Democrat-voting states / district from 2020 will vote D in 2024? (DC, VT, MA, MD, HI, CA, NY)

Will Kalawao County, HI, be the most Democratic county in 2024?

Hi

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP)

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Will the 400B+ open source Llama 3 model rank higher than GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09 on the lmsys leaderboard?

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Will I be diagnosed with high-functioning autism before 2025?

Does listening to music lead to higher utility?

Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?

Will Bitcoin hit $100K by Mar 31, 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for HI

Prediction markets for HI

Prediction markets for HI

How many of the top 7 Democrat-voting states / district from 2020 will vote D in 2024? (DC, VT, MA, MD, HI, CA, NY)

Will Kalawao County, HI, be the most Democratic county in 2024?

Hi

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP)

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Will the 400B+ open source Llama 3 model rank higher than GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09 on the lmsys leaderboard?