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Prediction markets for Hamas
Prediction markets for Hamas
🛑⚔️ Will There Be A Lasting, Formal, Bi-laterally Signed Ceasefire In The 2023 Israel–Hamas War By End Of 2024?
Dec 28, 11:58 PM
Dec 31, 5:00 PM
38.75%
chance
36
3247
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3305
2715
[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
Oct 11, 5:55 PM
Nov 2, 6:59 AM
410
166337
Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side
Oct 8, 6:14 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
302
67781
[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
Oct 7, 11:35 PM
Dec 31, 7:59 AM
129
72052
Was Hamas using Al-Shifa as a shield for a command centre?
Oct 30, 5:06 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
64.37%
chance
140
31696
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1294
1251
Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of July?
May 30, 9:58 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
17.42%
chance
62
9004
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2177
459
Will Israel capture or kill Yahya Sinwar, a Hamas leader, by September 1, 2024?
Jan 24, 1:38 PM
Sep 2, 3:59 AM
53.83%
chance
28
2756
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1379
617
Will Hamas declare victory against Israel in 2024?
Dec 29, 9:17 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
38.79%
chance
35
1656
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1123
663
Will a Hamas leader be assassinated while in Qatar?
Nov 23, 3:48 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
28.65%
chance
21
757
Option
Votes
YES
NO
996
993
Will Israel declare they have successfully eradicated Hamas by the end of 2024?
Oct 30, 3:11 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
29.6%
chance
23
1071
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1007
939
Will cruise outlive Hamas?
Nov 17, 1:59 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
50%
chance
11
316
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1004
995
[Metaculus] Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?
Apr 23, 1:14 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
31.47%
chance
22
1921
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1052
797
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