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Prediction markets for Great Western
Prediction markets for Great Western
Will China block anthropic.com before 2025?
Jun 23, 12:34 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
72.84%
chance
15
1068
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1638
611
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Dec 20, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
6.18%
chance
4
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
357
29
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
Jan 1, 4:11 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
38.23%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Sep 11, 4:21 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
Potential questions for long bet on Robin Hanson Orthodox Jews thesis (500 mana / 100 per great question or comment)
Oct 16, 1:57 AM
0
0
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10
5 months
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