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Prediction markets for Great Sea

Will a crossing of the Irish Sea, between Great Britain and Ireland, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:49 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

7.68%chance

131025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1514

887

Will any party or independent that didn’t win a seat in the 2019 U.K. general election in Great Britain win a seat in the next general election in Great Britain?

Jan 18, 11:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 PM

75.18%chance

261095

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1377

796

[Marked for Death] Why is the Great Seal failing?

Jan 21, 7:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7171

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.15%chance

13887052

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4295

3381

5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"

Mar 27, 5:41 AMMar 28, 4:59 AM

79.58%chance

35341923

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1664

1433

Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?

Nov 2, 12:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.03%chance

423889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

893

Will the UK acquire a fusion reactor before 2031?

Feb 18, 12:56 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

16.8%chance

11596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

973

Will climate change decimate humans before 2070?

Nov 2, 12:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.74%chance

234266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

961

Will Ingria exist as an independent state by 2033?

Mar 5, 10:12 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

13.08%chance

261904

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

892

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024

Sep 11, 4:21 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024

Dec 20, 6:57 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

6.18%chance

4270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

357

29

Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)

Jan 1, 4:11 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

38.23%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

78

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Thunderful Reveals SteamWorld Heist 2 with Captain Leeway in Great Sea Battles, Launching August 8 on Multiple Platforms
Authors
9
3 months
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