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Franklin News
Prediction markets for Franklin
Prediction markets for Franklin
Will the Rosalind Franklin rover launch before the end of 2028?
Apr 9, 8:36 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
47.39%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
70
70
What firm will manage the most traded spot bitcoin ETF at end of 2024?
Dec 7, 10:54 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
12
552
Manifold Ranks the 2024 NFL Draft Class
Mar 11, 7:39 PM
Feb 10, 4:59 AM
6
301
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? #2
Feb 28, 7:57 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
71
32940
Who will be Harvard University's next permanent president?
Jan 2, 6:10 PM
Dec 1, 7:59 AM
55
10581
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
276
339225
Buffalo Bills Organizational Assets by the start of the 2025 draft [ADD ANSWERS]
Apr 13, 4:28 AM
Apr 25, 3:59 AM
7
1608
Which Bitcoin ETF will be approved SECOND?
Jan 9, 11:03 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
4
280
Will @FranklinBaldo spend 25M everyday in 2024, to spend on the AI company board of directors market?
Apr 14, 9:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
77.46%
chance
4
460
Option
Votes
NO
YES
205
74
This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.
Dec 11, 5:49 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
58.23%
chance
262
537715
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3134
1688
Will a religion that has some AI as its god, oracle or priest have at least 1 million churchgoers before 2051?
Dec 16, 9:59 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
66.24%
chance
115
41403
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2660
1344
Will human narration for audiobooks become mostly unnecessary before 2026?
Oct 16, 1:53 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
54.54%
chance
268
25926
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1480
924
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