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Prediction markets for Farm

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which total AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 16, 11:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.97%chance

7810818

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4296

865

Will some factory farmed animals be made incapable of experiencing any physical or psychological suffering, by 2030?

Feb 10, 12:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14.71%chance

22588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

926

If biological humans still exist in 2100, the majority of them will regard factory farming as a great evil of the past

Jan 29, 4:38 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

66.61%chance

13298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

905

Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2075?

Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74.2%chance

24485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

936

Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2040?

Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.22%chance

22371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

884

Will Estonia ban caged hen egg farms before 2025?

Nov 3, 5:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

47.47%chance

17610

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

971

Will the next pandemic be primarily caused or significantly spread by factory farming?

Feb 19, 12:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.71%chance

11144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

968

Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2050?

Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.82%chance

371280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1208

881

There are 10 active farm companies in the USA founded before 1820. Will all ten still be operating EOY 2032?

Jan 3, 4:26 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.43%chance

10130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

961

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which net AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 17, 12:03 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.13%chance

12365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

884

In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?

Mar 25, 3:08 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

67.25%chance

585606

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1263

824

Will there be a year, before 2030, in which net AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 17, 12:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.53%chance

11957

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1424

745

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