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Eugene News
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Eric Holt, 29, Quits Job, Moves in with Parents to Self-Fund Olympic Dream
Authors
5
12 days
Politics
Prediction markets for Eugene
Prediction markets for Eugene
Will Eugen Rochko (creator of Mastodon) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Dec 21, 12:10 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
6.71%
chance
10
419
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1191
957
Who will win the 2024 election for the attorney general of Pennsylvania?
Oct 19, 1:41 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
4
98
How much of the popular vote will the Libertarian Party's candidate win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
May 8, 7:25 AM
Dec 12, 1:29 PM
45
8578
😈Who will go to Hell by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 3, 10:04 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
43
12799
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
280
346034
Name new popular, positive terms for genetic technology use in oneself or one's offspring [2k subsidy]
Apr 4, 7:57 AM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
20
1986
😇Who will go to Heaven by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 3, 10:04 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
63
17034
Which of these are major culture war topics in 2029? (Inspired by Nathan Young)
Mar 11, 4:12 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
9
204
Will a candidate that is neither backed by the Republican Party or the Democratic Party run in the 2024 United States presidential election and receive at least 5% of the national popular vote?
Jan 13, 6:14 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
33.92%
chance
14
769
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1128
617
Will Microsoft aquire Canonical before 2025?
Jul 5, 7:58 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
6%
chance
12
550
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1399
931
(dupe) Will Microsoft aquire Canonical before 2025?
Jul 5, 8:00 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
5.23%
chance
9
868
Option
Votes
YES
NO
682
137
Will any US State outside of California explicitly legalize motorcycle lane splitting in 2024?
Feb 24, 7:16 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
44.37%
chance
4
31
Option
Votes
YES
NO
145
126
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