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Prediction markets for EDI
Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
Oct 10, 4:41 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
268
120827
who will beat the game tunic in my house
Jan 28, 5:35 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
1
28
Which men’s college basketball stories will Matt Norlander rank in his top 10 biggest stories in 2024?
Dec 31, 1:39 PM
Dec 23, 4:59 AM
5
421
Algebraic value editing works better for larger language models, all else equal
Apr 2, 3:08 PM
Jul 29, 1:50 PM
48.16%
chance
27
1532
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1484
1474
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?
Apr 6, 9:52 AM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
42.25%
chance
84
5295
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1814
847
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
Apr 6, 2:21 PM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
65.93%
chance
73
5987
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1288
951
Will there be a second edition of the "Deep Learning Book" within 10 years after publication
Jun 1, 2:05 PM
Nov 18, 10:59 PM
52.36%
chance
1
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1048
954
Will Robert Winnett be employed as editor of the Washington Post at any time in 2024?
Jun 17, 2:58 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
1000
How often will I study chess this month? June 2024 Edition
Jun 1, 7:07 AM
Jul 2, 6:59 AM
41.42%
chance
8
4815
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1189
841
How often will I row this month? June 2024 Edition
Jun 1, 7:20 AM
Jul 2, 6:59 AM
64.4%
chance
4
358
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1345
744
Will a major tech company release a generative video editor by the end of 2024?
Oct 13, 11:34 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
73.51%
chance
13
244
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1072
958
Will a gene therapy that edits multiple genes using CRISPR be approved by the FDA before 2030?
Jan 26, 12:13 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
75.26%
chance
24
1005
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1080
953
Articles
Latest stories
FM Sitharaman Hands Over 101 Antiquities, Launches Projects on 29th Feb. 2024
Authors
4
4 months
India
World
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