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Cohere News
Prediction markets for Cohere
Prediction markets for Cohere
Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 (less strict criteria market, $1000M subsidy)
Jul 2, 8:07 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
55%
chance
164
47784
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3952
2742
Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 that win film festival awards [See link to better qu]
Mar 28, 9:40 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
15.83%
chance
100
27192
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3723
1183
Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?
May 23, 1:18 PM
May 31, 3:59 AM
73.5%
chance
49
4207
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1666
600
AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2025
Sep 23, 10:43 AM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
70.68%
chance
86
21416
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1082
958
Will @QiaochuYuan consider qualia a coherent concept by 2024
Jun 26, 12:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
43.68%
chance
10
234
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1006
988
Will "There are no coherence theorems" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
May 26, 11:18 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
23.69%
chance
1
100
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1095
574
Will "What do coherence arguments actually prove ab..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Jun 3, 2:12 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
1000
AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2024
Sep 23, 10:42 AM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
6.7%
chance
14
3721
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2106
834
What donation-accepting entity (e.g., charity) would it be morally best to transfer $20 under the coherent extrapolation of my (Aaron Bergman's) values, all things considered?
Feb 6, 4:25 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
20
1070
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
198
80091
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Dec 13, 5:16 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
365
71149
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
Feb 15, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
365
85514
Articles
Latest stories
Cohere Introduces SRPO: Self-Improving Robust Preference Optimization in 2024
Authors
7
27 days
AI
Tech
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