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Prediction markets for Civil Lines
Prediction markets for Civil Lines
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
Feb 15, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
365
85514
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?
May 18, 10:12 PM
Apr 21, 5:59 AM
62.43%
chance
26
1827
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1119
916
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Dec 20, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
6.18%
chance
4
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
357
29
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe in 2024
Sep 11, 4:23 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
34.38%
chance
4
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
135
93
If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?
May 15, 2:16 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
50.41%
chance
3
47
Option
Votes
NO
YES
101
99
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
Jan 1, 4:11 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
38.23%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
81.61%
chance
4
163
Option
Votes
NO
YES
189
74
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Sep 11, 4:21 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
Articles
Latest stories
Key Leaders Cast Votes in Delhi for Lok Sabha Elections 2024 Phase 6, 8.94% Turnout Recorded
Authors
16
1 month
India
World
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