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Prediction markets for Catalonia
Prediction markets for Catalonia
Will Catalonia leave Spain before 2040?
May 29, 9:56 AM
Jan 1, 12:00 PM
26.56%
chance
20
958
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1139
921
Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?
Apr 5, 5:46 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
27.57%
chance
17
971
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1185
895
Will Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?
Apr 1, 10:46 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
15.26%
chance
10
251
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1003
980
Which of Catalonia, Scotland, or Quebec will achieve independence first?
Oct 26, 3:50 AM
Oct 27, 6:59 AM
7
106
Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?
Jun 8, 2:50 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
31.47%
chance
9
288
Option
Votes
YES
NO
237
62
Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?
Nov 8, 5:29 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
91.05%
chance
4
240
Option
Votes
NO
YES
350
75
What will be the next UN Member state?
Jul 2, 12:54 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
21
405
Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?
Apr 24, 7:48 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
22
834
What countries will join the UN before 2030
Apr 2, 5:37 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
19
1271
Which of these countries will be the first independent?
Aug 15, 7:47 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
11
212
Will Catalunya leave Spain by 2040?
Jan 24, 8:03 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
15.96%
chance
13
788
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1576
840
Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?
Oct 4, 8:36 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
12.27%
chance
8
242
Option
Votes
YES
NO
314
151
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