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Top stories

Texas School Districts Approve Raises Amid Budget Deficits in San Antonio, Friendswood, Belton, and Bryan
Authors
4
14 days
Texas
Politics

Prediction markets for Bryan

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.23%chance

201160211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4881

4599

Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Nov 29, 7:19 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

4.23%chance

377373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1186

653

Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?

Aug 20, 10:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

18%chance

267864

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YES

NO

1136

937

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?

Jan 19, 6:31 PMJan 31, 5:59 AM

8.01%chance

18468416

OptionVotes

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NO

4242

1797

Will Bryan Johnson live to be 100 years old?

Aug 7, 11:43 PMAug 22, 9:59 PM

45.26%chance

232107

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NO

1051

930

Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)

May 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

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How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies?

Jul 18, 8:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.38%chance

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1026

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Nov 2, 11:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.96%chance

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1223

899

Will Bryan Caplan create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.4%chance

231099

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YES

NO

1220

770

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Jul 28, 5:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.87%chance

221528

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1084

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Will Bryan Johnson live to 90 years old?

May 8, 5:37 PMAug 23, 3:59 AM

61.43%chance

227

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Will Bryan Johnson die of natural causes?

Jan 19, 5:00 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

52.21%chance

16451

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1042

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Articles

Latest stories

Texas School Districts Approve Raises Amid Budget Deficits in San Antonio, Friendswood, Belton, and Bryan
Authors
4
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