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Big Ben News
Prediction markets for Big Ben
Prediction markets for Big Ben
[Mega Independent]/Prop bets: What will be true of the next James Bond movie?
Nov 23, 9:13 PM
Dec 1, 7:59 AM
118
43677
When will a majority of US kids dont know how to read analog clocks?
Apr 9, 11:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
15
955
Will xAI release an LLM with BIG-Bench score as good as GPT-4 Turbo before the end of 2024?
Jun 20, 2:09 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
33.71%
chance
31
2673
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1461
588
Have VERSES and Karl Friston achieved a "breakthrough in active inference" that beats GPT-4 on BIG-bench before 2025?
Dec 19, 9:06 PM
Dec 31, 10:02 PM
8.03%
chance
14
977
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1075
965
BIG-bench accuracy 75% #3: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2026?
Feb 8, 10:38 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
85.65%
chance
4
133
Option
Votes
NO
YES
213
44
BIG-bench accuracy 75% #5: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2028?
Feb 8, 10:39 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
87.49%
chance
7
308
Option
Votes
NO
YES
393
62
BIG-bench accuracy 75% #4: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2027?
Feb 8, 10:39 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
85.89%
chance
4
132
Option
Votes
NO
YES
218
42
BIG-bench accuracy 75% #2: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2025?
Feb 8, 10:38 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
68.51%
chance
7
88
Option
Votes
NO
YES
236
127
Bounty for helping me regain access to my Facebook account on desktop/web.
Aug 18, 7:31 PM
Aug 19, 2:59 AM
0
0
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