Beas News

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)

May 16, 4:58 PMJul 8, 6:59 PM

88.6%chance

598319041

OptionVotes

YES

144456

21857

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

43.67%chance

1013397392

OptionVotes

YES

4924

3822

Will the four year Bitcoin bull / bear market cycle continue for the 2023-2026 cycle?

Dec 11, 6:14 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

26.39%chance

9714438

OptionVotes

YES

10332

9120

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?

Nov 22, 3:02 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

58.08%chance

1028601

OptionVotes

YES

1298

1019

Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?

Aug 30, 10:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5%chance

141629

OptionVotes

YES

1184

959

Will Elon Musk beat Mark Zuckerberg if they fight in a cage match?

Jun 22, 1:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

23.24%chance

759497

OptionVotes

YES

1644

1355

Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075?

Jan 30, 4:41 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

19.32%chance

684772

OptionVotes

YES

1780

1250

Will Trump beat Biden in every New York Times/Sienna national poll before election day?

Mar 2, 6:51 PMNov 11, 7:59 AM

31.09%chance

602174

OptionVotes

YES

1803

1625

Will AI beat the best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2024?

Nov 28, 5:13 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

4.37%chance

7031802

OptionVotes

YES

6153

603

Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030?

Apr 5, 2:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

47.78%chance

8134

OptionVotes

YES

1167

1115

Will Trump beat Biden in these swing state polls on November 1st?

Mar 15, 5:01 PMNov 1, 6:00 PM

916184

Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 6,000.00 before 5,000.00?

Jun 20, 2:11 PMJul 31, 8:00 PM

62.51%chance

4402

OptionVotes

YES

1291

775

Latest stories

'#MeraPehlaVoteDeshKeLiye' Mobilizes Indian Youth for 2024 General Elections
Authors
5
4 months
India
World
PM Modi's #MeraPehlaVoteDeshKeLiye Campaign Gains Momentum with Nationwide Voter Awareness
Authors
8
4 months
India
World

Beas News

Prediction markets for Beas

Prediction markets for Beas

Prediction markets for Beas

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Will the four year Bitcoin bull / bear market cycle continue for the 2023-2026 cycle?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?

Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?

Will Elon Musk beat Mark Zuckerberg if they fight in a cage match?

Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075?

Will Trump beat Biden in every New York Times/Sienna national poll before election day?

Will AI beat the best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2024?

Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030?

Will Trump beat Biden in these swing state polls on November 1st?

Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 6,000.00 before 5,000.00?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Beas

Prediction markets for Beas

Prediction markets for Beas

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Will the four year Bitcoin bull / bear market cycle continue for the 2023-2026 cycle?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?

Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?

Will Elon Musk beat Mark Zuckerberg if they fight in a cage match?

Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075?

Will Trump beat Biden in every New York Times/Sienna national poll before election day?

Will AI beat the best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2024?

Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030?