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Prediction markets for Administration

Will president Biden “mint the coin” at any point during his administration?

Jan 9, 2:45 AMFeb 1, 5:59 AM

3.27%chance

227141249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8723

1600

Will the next US president allow Hollywood to make as many true-to-physics time travel movies as past administrations?

Jun 8, 10:00 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

57.72%chance

5614

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1168

856

Will the Biden administration’s plan to use the Higher Education Act result in student debt relief before 2025?

Jun 30, 8:49 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

32.49%chance

221024

OptionVotes

NO

YES

993

979

If Trump Wins, will Elon Musk have an advisory role in his administration? 🇺🇸🗽🗳️🌎

May 30, 4:45 PMMar 7, 12:59 PM

33.3%chance

342059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1415

707

Will sortition be used as an alternative to elections for any administrative division of government before 2060?

Aug 28, 12:20 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

77%chance

10267

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

959

Will DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?

Jan 21, 10:22 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

22.28%chance

19411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1118

949

Will any MIT faculty, officer, board member, or administrator lose their job in 2024 due to plagiarism?

Jan 5, 11:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.75%chance

465921

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1037

1000

Professor to administrator ratio increases at MIT, Yale, Harvard 2023-2033

Oct 7, 6:41 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

17.95%chance

13826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

924

Will the Espionage Act charges against Julian Assange be dropped by the Biden Administration in 2024?

Apr 11, 12:27 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10.67%chance

222007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2415

633

Will Nikki Haley be in the next administration in 2024?

Nov 19, 5:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.42%chance

10464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1213

932

Will there be a financial markets' panic due to expectations of a 2nd Trump administration by inauguration day?

Dec 5, 1:23 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

10.86%chance

20842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

873

Will the Biden administration attempt to seize control of the Texas National Guard in 2024?

Jan 25, 7:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.09%chance

252704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2311

858

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HouseGOP Passes Four Bills to Crack Down on Illegal Immigration, Bolster Borders
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