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Prediction markets for Abu
Prediction markets for Abu
🕋Which of these celebrities will convert to Islam before the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 20, 4:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25
4427
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? #2
Feb 28, 7:57 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
71
32940
Hamas Leaders Killed or Captured by Israel before end of 2024
Nov 15, 9:12 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
32
3737
Which of these franchise cricket tournaments will David Warner play in?
Jan 10, 10:09 PM
Mar 1, 5:59 AM
5
2264
Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035
Nov 30, 10:02 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
17.41%
chance
51
8584
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3705
3281
Will a Manifold mod blatantly abuse their power by the end of 2024?
Nov 25, 12:59 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
25.75%
chance
22
831
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1235
895
In 2026, will Manifold think that Sam Altman abused Annie Altman?
Nov 18, 12:09 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
11.78%
chance
75
5163
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1855
797
Will the Nati'l Institute on Alcohol Abuse & Alcoholism & CDC introduce stricter alcohol consumption guidelines by 2025?
Aug 26, 3:19 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
34.63%
chance
36
1675
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1162
882
Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?
Jun 6, 5:05 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
36%
chance
15
888
Option
Votes
YES
NO
133
75
Discourse 2024: "A year of absurd abundance"?
Jan 7, 1:42 PM
Jan 30, 10:59 PM
25.98%
chance
3
34
Option
Votes
YES
NO
104
50
Will Prince Andrew be evicted from the Royal Lodge over allegations of sexual abuse?
Jan 5, 4:40 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
17.41%
chance
9
214
Option
Votes
YES
NO
405
213
Was Steven Crowder the more abusive partner?
Apr 28, 5:27 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
89.16%
chance
7
245
Option
Votes
NO
YES
367
118
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5
5 months
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6
6 months
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