Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Abbs News
Prediction markets for Abbs
Prediction markets for Abbs
In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)
Dec 10, 1:17 PM
Dec 10, 11:59 PM
63.63%
chance
79
21645
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2729
2049
In 2024, how confident will I be that the Wytham Abbey purchase was better than what the money would otherwise be used for, given the information that there was at the time?
Dec 15, 7:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
55.09%
chance
16
454
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1094
840
10) U.S. court rule that generative AI models trained on the internet represent a violation of copyright. [Abbreviated]
Dec 25, 1:43 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
65.75%
chance
43
1772
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1300
767
In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options?
Dec 10, 3:14 PM
Dec 10, 11:59 PM
41.81%
chance
13
1376
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1092
887
Will Mahmoud Abbas remain the President of Palestine until the end of 2024?
Oct 18, 8:12 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
77.17%
chance
37
1925
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1525
750
Who will lead the Palestinian Authority after Mahmoud Abbas?
Feb 15, 2:33 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
7
137
When will Mahmoud Abbas cease to be president of the Palestinian Authority?
Nov 30, 10:45 PM
Sep 14, 9:59 PM
11
583
Will Mahmoud Abbas be President of the State of Palestine until the end of July 2025?
Oct 11, 7:26 AM
Aug 1, 4:59 AM
70.69%
chance
4
112
Option
Votes
NO
YES
167
65
Who will replace Mahmoud Abbas as President?
Dec 4, 3:51 AM
Dec 11, 4:59 AM
12
310
Will Joe Biden and Mahmoud Abbas meet face to face during 2024?
Jan 3, 2:56 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
56.05%
chance
4
52
Option
Votes
NO
YES
105
74
Will Mahmoud Abbas be President of the State of Palestine until the end of July 2024?
Oct 11, 7:26 AM
Aug 1, 4:59 AM
92.37%
chance
5
317
Option
Votes
NO
YES
404
63
Will Alia Abbas become a Thiel Fellow?
Jan 12, 7:50 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
23%
chance
3
60
Option
Votes
YES
NO
145
61
Articles
Latest stories
4 UK RAF Typhoon Jets Strike Houthi Targets in Bani and Abbs with Paveway Bombs Supported by Voyager
Authors
5
6 months
Ukraine
World
Previous
Next
