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Prediction markets for 21st

Will Vladimir Putin be alive on December 21st, 2024?

Jul 14, 12:11 PMDec 22, 6:00 AM

93.11%chance

16767176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4203

2692

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.11%chance

271627

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1112

876

When Taiwan moves from the 21st position on the UN nominal GDP measure, it will move up.

Jul 27, 7:43 PMJul 4, 3:59 AM

72.78%chance

12244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1086

953

If a random 50% of federal bureaucrats are instantly fired on January 21st 2025, will anything break as a result?

Nov 13, 1:12 AMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

62.92%chance

12323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

950

Will any human spacecraft reach another star system by the end of the 21st century?

Nov 11, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

37.96%chance

21433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

983

Will the Fed cut rates before October 21st?

Dec 8, 4:26 AMOct 20, 6:29 PM

46.65%chance

408757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1164

715

Will faithless electors change a US Presidential election outcome in the 21st century?

Aug 22, 9:07 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

14.61%chance

13260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

937

Will a European country will re-establish a monarchy in the 21st century?

May 4, 12:36 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

15%chance

11431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1049

973

Will a Speaker of the House of Representatives ascend to the Presidency in the 21st century?

Apr 14, 2:55 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

21.71%chance

596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

99

What peak (local maximum) population will the world reach in the 21st century?

May 17, 4:42 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

35.24%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

280

264

Which African country will be the first to launch an orbital rocket in the 21st century?

Apr 16, 2:51 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5436

Will New Zealand host the Summer Olympic Games in the 21st century?

Nov 7, 11:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

21.54%chance

8285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

85

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Wawa at 21st and Hamilton to Close Over Lease Issues, Chase Bank to Replace It
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