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Prediction markets for 15

Worldcoin scales up to at least 10M World ID sign-ups by August 15, 2024?

Mar 16, 5:09 PMAug 16, 4:59 AM

21.37%chance

183790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15275

10433

Will macOS Sequoia (15) be the last major version of macOS to support Macs with Intel CPU’s?

Jun 16, 12:16 AMJun 1, 1:59 PM

45.39%chance

3100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

912

Will the Harvard class of 2028 have <15% African American students?

Jun 29, 11:13 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

69.86%chance

785608

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1257

1104

Will at least 50 people have landed on Mars within 15 years after the 1st?

Feb 9, 7:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

41.01%chance

17725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1426

446

Will DJT stock close at or under $15 anytime before the end of the year 2024?

Apr 4, 7:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.36%chance

271568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1217

582

Will Google kill 15 or more products in 2024?📱⌚️🪦

Dec 18, 2:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.33%chance

391546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

777

Will Yale's failure to disclose 15 million in Qatari funding, precipitate a Federal investigation? See below Info

Jun 18, 8:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.34%chance

8496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1055

948

Will Trump win either 35% of the Hispanic/Latino vote or 15% of the black vote in 2024?

Jan 20, 3:16 AMNov 7, 6:59 AM

71.99%chance

11216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1036

977

Will the next GPT correctly tell me the least integer whose square is between 15 and 30?

Jun 22, 4:41 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

40%chance

433403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

At the end of Blue Monday 2025 (Jan 15) will Manifold have sold enough Mana in the last 30 days to buy one bitcoin?

Jan 12, 7:49 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

28.14%chance

18841

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

983

Will at least 15% of US adults in 2030 have ever used psilocybin/magic mushrooms in their lifetimes?

Jan 29, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.07%chance

12227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

951

Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3?

Feb 19, 5:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

47.95%chance

14442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

979

Articles

Latest stories

San Francisco Politician Aaron Peskin Faces Corruption Allegations, Affordable Housing Removal on Telegraph Hill
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2 months
San Francisco
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