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116 News
Prediction markets for 116
Prediction markets for 116
Will Chechnya's ban on music that is not 80 to 116 beats per minute (BPM) be revoked within 5 years?
Apr 9, 4:00 PM
Apr 17, 3:59 AM
79.85%
chance
16
523
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1237
891
Will anyone beat Jiroemon Kimura's record for oldest man (116 years, 54 days) before 2030?
Oct 20, 11:58 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
15.61%
chance
5
93
Option
Votes
YES
NO
185
80
At what age will Maria Branyas, the current oldest person alive (age 116), pass away?
Jan 11, 4:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3
54
What will be the parameter count (in trillions) of the largest neural network by the end of 2030?
May 26, 10:06 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
5
420
In chess, what is the shortest amount of moves black needs to make to force a draw?
Jun 19, 6:56 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
2
31
What Will Be the Most Games Won by an MLB Team During the 2024 Regular Season?
Apr 25, 5:41 AM
Oct 26, 6:59 AM
7
150
What will be the highest regular season win total for a team during the 2024 MLB season?
Apr 14, 9:15 PM
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
4
55
How much will Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (2024) gross at the worldwide box office?
Mar 11, 4:32 PM
Jan 2, 1:29 PM
10
33580
By the end of 2043, will the world record for oldest living person ever be beaten by 5 years?
Sep 25, 3:44 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
33.53%
chance
26
2203
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1050
949
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on the Making Sense podcast with Sam Harris again by the end of 2024?
Mar 31, 12:02 AM
Jan 2, 12:30 PM
31.93%
chance
17
660
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1367
768
Will I (@TheBayesian) Reach the Top 20 All-Time Profit Leaderboard before July 2024?
Jan 3, 1:08 AM
Jul 2, 3:59 AM
4.78%
chance
21
4124
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1586
13
How many 100 win teams will there be in the 2024 MLB season?
Dec 15, 4:29 AM
Sep 30, 6:59 AM
10
230
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