Recent polling by Instituto Paraná Pesquisas, conducted between May 31 and June 4 with 1,522 respondents and a margin of error of 2.6 percentage points, shows Celina Leão (PP), the current vice-governadora of the Distrito Federal, leading the race for the governorship in the 2026 elections. In three simulated scenarios, Leão garners 31.1%, 34.4%, and 42.8% of voter intentions, ahead of Fred Linhares (Republicanos), José Roberto Arruda (PL), Leandro Grass (PV), Izalci Lucas (PL), Paula Belmonte (Cidadania), Ricardo Cappelli (PSB), and Eduardo Pedrosa (União Brasil). Governor Ibaneis Rocha, currently in his second term, is not eligible for re-election. For the Senate race in the Distrito Federal, former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leads with 42.8% of voter intentions, followed by current governor Ibaneis Rocha (MDB) with 36.5%. Other notable candidates include Leila Barros (PDT, 29.7%), Erika Kokay (PT, 24%), Bia Kicis (PL, 18.3%), and Rosilene Corrêa (PT, 6.5%). The same survey shows that Governor Ibaneis Rocha has a 59% approval rating among residents of the Distrito Federal, while 36.7% disapprove of his administration. His government is rated as 'ótima' or 'boa' by 40.7% of respondents, 'regular' by 29.6%, and 'ruim' or 'péssima' by 28.4%. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) faces significant disapproval in the Distrito Federal, with 62.6% of respondents expressing dissatisfaction with his government and 34.4% expressing approval. Additionally, 54.2% rate his administration as 'ruim' or 'péssima', while 21.6% consider it 'bom' or 'ótimo'. In hypothetical presidential matchups in the Distrito Federal, Jair Bolsonaro outperforms Lula, while Lula is statistically tied with other right-wing figures such as Michelle Bolsonaro, Tarcísio de Freitas, and Eduardo Bolsonaro.