Market Brief
Daily market recaps with key events, stock movements, and global influences
U.S. energy output climbed to a record high in 2024, edging 1% above the previous peak set in 2023, according to the Energy Information Administration. The gains spanned natural gas, crude oil, natural-gas liquids, biofuels, solar and wind. Industry consultancy Wood Mackenzie projects that deep-water fields in the Gulf of Mexico—dubbed the “Gulf of America” by President Donald Trump—will drive the next leg of growth, adding about 300,000 barrels a day of crude in 2025 and a further 250,000 barrels a day in 2026. The firm expects the region to account for the entire increase in U.S. oil supply in 2026 as onshore activity cools. The outlook comes amid falling crude prices and a shrinking onshore oil-rig fleet, even as natural-gas rigs quietly rise. Despite the softer market, Trump’s administration continues to press for expanded drilling to reduce energy prices and bolster domestic output. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said it is “unlikely” that national oil production will decline in 2026, contradicting a separate EIA forecast that assumes a drop unless prices fall sharply. Wright’s stance underscores the government’s confidence that new offshore projects can offset any slowdown on land.
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