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Prediction markets for Celsius

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2025, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 3:56 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

71.41%chance

273907

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1236

883

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 5:42 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

9.46%chance

242832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2221

734

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:01 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

75.22%chance

221354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1019

976

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:00 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

73.62%chance

121135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

892

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?

Feb 21, 4:23 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

7%chance

5902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

364

27

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Feb 21, 4:23 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

10.03%chance

9850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?

Feb 21, 4:21 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

3.49%chance

5762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

526

19

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

80.25%chance

17737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

841

Will the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?

Apr 8, 7:51 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

70.34%chance

16503

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1315

827

Will Celsius successfully give out $2.8 Million bonuses to their staff?

Dec 7, 6:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.94%chance

10415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

942

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 3:58 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

70.82%chance

6235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

118

Will General Fusion's MTF machine achieve fusion conditions above 100mm degrees Celsius by 12/31/2025?

Aug 10, 2:50 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

33.19%chance

429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

92

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