For the first time in months, Joe Biden has pulled ahead of Donald Trump in the FiveThirtyEight average of national polls. The latest polling average shows Biden at 41.2% and Trump at 41.9%, with Biden gaining approximately eight-tenths of a point since Trump's conviction. This polling average includes adjustments for likely voters, third parties, and other factors. Additionally, Trump's electoral college advantage has significantly decreased from 3.9% to 0.4%.
For the first time in a long time, Biden is ahead nationally in 538's poll of polls. Also Trump's electoral college advantage appears to have shrunk substantially - from 3.9% to 0.4% (in this poll of polls). https://t.co/MqOSpHToD3
For the first time in a long time, Biden is ahead in 538's poll of polls. Also Trump's electoral college advantage appears to have shrunk substantially - from 3.9% to 0.4% (in this poll of polls). https://t.co/67FZOqP8YZ
Biden Pulls Ahead of Trump in FiveThirtyEight Average of Polls For First Time in Months https://t.co/7t16ZejkaG
And there it is. For the first time in months, Joe Biden is ahead in 538's average of polls. https://t.co/78Zqvm82z1
Biden is "ahead" in our national polling average for the first time all year https://t.co/cdR35yt9ac https://t.co/aPKGKENAno
Unofficial Silver Bulletin polling average has the national race at Trump 41.9, Biden 41.2. Biden has gained ~eight-tenths of a point since Trump's conviction, which isn't nothing. This is a pretty fancy average with adjustments for likely voters, 3rd parties and other stuff.