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Tropical Depression Twenty-One has formed near the coast of Nicaragua and is expected to bring heavy rainfall and flash flooding to the region. The depression is not expected to intensify into a named storm before moving inland. The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season has been slightly to somewhat above average for all parameters, with named storms and named storm days well above average. Large-scale conditions in the Caribbean are favorable for the formation of low pressure systems. A disturbance near the Bahamas has a small window of opportunity to become a depression or storm. There is also a potential for a tropical depression or storm to form in the Caribbean this week.