Multiple tweets from various sources including US forecasters, NASA, and meteorologists indicate that a strong El Niño is expected to persist through the Northern Hemisphere spring of 2024, with a 62% chance during April-June 2024. The development of a broad low pressure system over the Caribbean is being closely monitored, with a 30% chance of tropical cyclone formation. The impact of El Niño on global temperatures, potential high-tide flooding events along the western coasts of the Americas, and the influence of warmer ocean air are also highlighted.
Area of interest in the Caribbean has a 30% chance of tropical development. https://t.co/x4xATKU6aN
One distinct possibility for the Caribbean system is it gets strung out ahead of the approaching trough and never really has the time to consolidate into an organized feature in the Caribbean. This seems to be the solution favored by the 12Z EC. https://t.co/sIWC7Cm3Bq
El Niño is now ‘strong’ but acting strangely. What that means. - The Washington Post https://t.co/nKnSArDPrp
El Nino is now in "strong" territory, but isn't really behaving like it... yet. @MatthewCappucci discusses what that means with helpful input from @PaulRoundy1 and @tcrawf_nh ⬇️ https://t.co/aBN8nJMkl4
1pm EST 10th November -- NHC is monitoring a broad area of low pressure that is forecast to form in the SW Caribbean Sea by the middle part of next week. It currently has a low chance (30%🟡) of tropical cyclone formation over the next 7 days. https://t.co/DboWSR44Dt https://t.co/SLc3ez4XRg
El Niño is usually wet but not always cold. Confidence in a wetter winter is much higher, IMO, than in a snowy. Lots of cold/mild rains and the influence of warmer ocean air from super high SST is a bit of a winter forecast red flag to me. Guidance keeps hinting at this as well.… https://t.co/chFf29Icx3 https://t.co/GbRaBcsGsE
El Niño is getting stronger and that's already making Earth hotter https://t.co/IoEs4dWRDE
El Niño to last until April 2024; typically=globe hotter year AFTER. 2023 likely warmest on record. 2024 may be even warmer."This is clearly & unequivocally due to the contribution of the increasing concentrations of heat-trapping greenhouse gases from human activities,”@WMOUNHQ
Scientists claim record breaking heat is a result of greenhouse gases and El Niño
TROPICS: A broad area of low pressure could form in the southwestern Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter as it meanders over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet. https://t.co/keceKtlbaO
If a strong El Niño develops this winter, cities along the western coasts of the Americas (including Seattle and San Diego) could see more high-tide flooding events, according to new @NASA analysis. Here's what that means. https://t.co/F0q0nKg6Wq
El Niño is getting stronger and that's already making Earth hotter https://t.co/F9CfWWjpKj
If a strong #ElNiño develops this winter, people living along the western coasts of the Americas could see the number of high-tide floods increase. Earth-observing missions, including the SWOT satellite, can help communities prepare for rising seas. https://t.co/7MHNvDxMG3
Nothing says "El Niño" like southern-stream disturbances developing along the Gulf Coast. Sneaky baroclinic setup ahead of a shortwave and in the right entrance region of a jet streak. https://t.co/OKjYzJwWgb
El Nino conditions to continue through Northern Hemisphere spring 2024 - US forecaster https://t.co/4UQLYSJhQy https://t.co/lYYpaeWObN
⚠️ EL NINO CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH NORTHERN HEMISPHERE SPRING 2024 - US FORECASTER Full Story → https://t.co/FXQphuoJIS El Nino weather conditions will continue through the Northern Hemisphere during April-June 2024 with a 62% chance, a U.S. government weather… https://t.co/yqhlUJxTbo https://t.co/sWBu8tqRSk
El Niño is anticipated to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring (with a 62% chance during April-June 2024): El Niño advisory remains in effect. Today's El Niño update still shows a strong El Niño currently, with it very likely to persist at a strong level through Spring… https://t.co/ngfkCUEmGb https://t.co/NgBESbqnoI
Pretty much all the major global models are now showing a broad low forming over the Caribbean next week in response to forcing from an upper trough. GFS of course is the most early/aggressive still. Remains to be seen if this is a consolidated system or a broader gyre. https://t.co/hGC0AeQYfv
A Strong El Nino This Winter https://t.co/PedFgdwIb1