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Modelling research suggests that cutting down rainforests for palm oil in Indonesia and Malaysia could lead to longer El Niño and La Niña events with widespread climate impacts. Five out of six La Niña events since 1998 have lasted two to three years, and the emergence of long-lasting multiyear La Niña events is of concern. El Niño conditions are anticipated to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring 2024, with a 62% chance during April-June 2024. A strong El Niño is expected this winter, which could result in an increase in high-tide floods along the western coasts of the Americas. El Niño is getting stronger, leading to hotter conditions on Earth.
