An area of low pressure, Invest 96L, located east of the northwestern Bahamas, is moving into an area of strong upper-level winds and dry air, reducing its chances of becoming a tropical storm. Meanwhile, Invest 97L is expected to become a tropical storm in the Caribbean and possibly a hurricane as it heads towards Central America. However, the system in the eastern Caribbean Sea, despite overnight thunderstorms, has not shown much organization. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further development. Models suggest that the disturbance will move west into Central America and then into the Pacific. The odds of a tropical system forming in the southwestern Caribbean Sea before moving over Central America are decreasing, but a tropical depression is still possible. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central and western Caribbean Sea, associated with Invest 97L, are expected to develop slowly before moving inland over Central America. Heavy rainfall is expected in Central America, posing a risk of flash flooding. Overall, tropical development is unlikely, but the system will bring significant rainfall to the region.
Here's the latest on INVEST 97-L. Tropical development unlikely, however this will be a big rainmaker for Central America. https://t.co/HzSAx6U6hd
TROPICS: A broad area of low pressure continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea. Further development of this system appears unlikely before it moves inland over Central America tonight or tomorrow. Regardless of… https://t.co/k8UPpt1dWF https://t.co/71apCjicLB
Been watching Invest #97L most of the week. The system remains a very broad cyclonic circulation similar to Central American Gyres we can get this time of the year. Main impact is heavy rainfall over Central America w/ flash flooding possible, esp after #Pilar's rains earlier. https://t.co/R28Rwk2puW
TROPICS: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea is associated with a broad area of low pressure (Invest 97L). Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur before it moves inland over Central America tonight or… https://t.co/9ErAHBzRyW https://t.co/M2r0ePSCte
TROPICS: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the central and western Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure (Invest 97L). Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur before it moves inland over Central America… https://t.co/KMoSwCxdY0 https://t.co/AHbbamVDKF
TROPICS: A trough of low pressure (Invest 97L) is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity while moving westward over the central Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development of this disturbance over the next couple… https://t.co/PUbfSYmAGe https://t.co/nWaqZwrbQB
Interesting to see how far south models have trended with a weaker version of Invest 97L this week. Some outside scenarios even track the low close to Costa Rica, a country unaccustomed to direct tropical cyclone impacts. Heavy rain regardless from Nicaragua north to Belize. https://t.co/E8JOcH2fr6
TROPICS: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea are associated with a trough of low pressure (Invest 97L). Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development in a day or two, and a tropical depression could form when the… https://t.co/7GmpH86gLX https://t.co/OXXyfQTpUS
TROPICS: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea are associated with a trough of low pressure (Invest 97L). Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development in a day or two, and a tropical depression could form when the… https://t.co/eSc5Wu5TVe https://t.co/SPaiQYjzh0
Odds of a tropical system forming in the southwestern Caribbean Sea before moving over Central America Saturday continue to decrease. Still not out of the question a tropical depression could form between now and then. It's no threat to the U.S. #scwx #ncwx https://t.co/OyXoBP3Zv2
As many models suggested, it appears the disturbance in the Caribbean will slide on west into Central America then out into the Pacific. The shear pattern over the lower 48 into the Gulf and Atlantic is becoming increasingly hostile toward the development of anything tropical.… https://t.co/4YcFH6JyP8 https://t.co/o0KqSOVO2B
TROPICS: Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association with a trough of low pressure (Invest 97L) over the central Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are forecast to become slightly more conducive for development in a couple of days, and a tropical… https://t.co/wOFWV9mQjW https://t.co/9pNmDLr7oG
TROPICS: Shower and thunderstorm activity in association with a trough of low pressure (Invest 97L) over the eastern Caribbean Sea has diminished and not become any better organized this afternoon. Although environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for further… https://t.co/dxK2ELM2cm https://t.co/kGhr8m30PP
Watching the disturbance in the eastern Caribbean Sea, despite a burst of overnight thunderstorms, daylight satellite images reveal it's not much better organized. Also, there may be several areas of "swirls" and no focused area of spin/convergence, meaning development in the… https://t.co/43FB5QTGsa https://t.co/8SrCpxqTJ4
TROPICS: A trough of low pressure (Invest 97L) over the eastern Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development during the next several days while the system moves westward over the… https://t.co/5OiAMD1uOL https://t.co/voI77PPyUO
Invest 97L will likely become a tropical storm in the Caribbean this week; possibly a hurricane as it heads toward Central America. https://t.co/zd1Ja3cJtS
TROPICS: An area of low pressure (Invest 96L) with associated disorganized showers is located about 100 miles east of the northwestern Bahamas. This system is moving into an area of strong upper-level winds and dry air, and the chances of it becoming a short-lived tropical storm… https://t.co/tXa7QqQPKd https://t.co/WHclxpRBPV