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Satellite data indicates that a low pressure system, known as Invest 96L, is producing gale-force winds in the northeastern side of the central Bahamas. Another trough of low pressure, Invest 97L, is causing disorganized showers and thunderstorms in the central and western Caribbean Sea. Both systems have the potential for further development in the coming days, although environmental conditions may hinder their progress. The disturbance in the Caribbean is expected to move westward into Central America and then out into the Pacific.
TROPICS: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the central and western Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure (Invest 97L). Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur before it moves inland over Central America… https://t.co/KMoSwCxdY0 https://t.co/AHbbamVDKF
TROPICS: A trough of low pressure (Invest 97L) is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity while moving westward over the central Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development of this disturbance over the next couple… https://t.co/PUbfSYmAGe https://t.co/nWaqZwrbQB
TROPICS: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea are associated with a trough of low pressure (Invest 97L). Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development in a day or two, and a tropical depression could form when the… https://t.co/7GmpH86gLX https://t.co/OXXyfQTpUS
TROPICS: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea are associated with a trough of low pressure (Invest 97L). Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development in a day or two, and a tropical depression could form when the… https://t.co/eSc5Wu5TVe https://t.co/SPaiQYjzh0
As many models suggested, it appears the disturbance in the Caribbean will slide on west into Central America then out into the Pacific. The shear pattern over the lower 48 into the Gulf and Atlantic is becoming increasingly hostile toward the development of anything tropical.… https://t.co/4YcFH6JyP8 https://t.co/o0KqSOVO2B
TROPICS: Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association with a trough of low pressure (Invest 97L) over the central Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are forecast to become slightly more conducive for development in a couple of days, and a tropical… https://t.co/wOFWV9mQjW https://t.co/9pNmDLr7oG
TROPICS: Shower and thunderstorm activity in association with a trough of low pressure (Invest 97L) over the eastern Caribbean Sea has diminished and not become any better organized this afternoon. Although environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for further… https://t.co/dxK2ELM2cm https://t.co/kGhr8m30PP
TROPICS: A trough of low pressure (Invest 97L) over the eastern Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development during the next several days while the system moves westward over the… https://t.co/5OiAMD1uOL https://t.co/voI77PPyUO
TROPICS: An area of low pressure (Invest 96L) with associated disorganized showers is located about 100 miles east of the northwestern Bahamas. This system is moving into an area of strong upper-level winds and dry air, and the chances of it becoming a short-lived tropical storm… https://t.co/tXa7QqQPKd https://t.co/WHclxpRBPV
Watching a weak tropical disturbance in the eastern Caribbean for a chance of amplification this week in a low-shear environment. Both GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a chance of tropical storm formation as the system moves westward. It's getting late in the hurricane season, but… https://t.co/MXcefOkbOn https://t.co/GR09cG0eMP
TROPICS: Satellite data indicate that the low pressure system (Invest 96L) located a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of the central Bahamas continues to produce an area of gale-force winds on its northeast side. However, the associated showers and thunderstorms remain… https://t.co/a1KKuuInAW https://t.co/JH9ra3HodE
Been this way for a while this season but the upper-air pattern in the Caribbean next week is basically the inverse of what you'd expect with a strengthening El Niño. MJO phase is helping, but this is still wild, regardless of what does/doesn't develop down there. https://t.co/ajLVMNJK6y
Strong signal for organizing low pressure in the southwestern Caribbean going into next weekend from both the GFS and Euro ensembles. Too soon to know much more, but widespread water temps topping 86°F (30°C) give good reason to stay tuned. (maps via @TropicalTidbits @BMcNoldy) https://t.co/rufpPdsohl