Recent reports and climate models indicate the El Niño weather pattern, which has been contributing to above-normal temperatures globally, is beginning to weaken. Sea surface temperatures in the central-eastern Pacific, a key indicator of El Niño conditions, were recorded at +1.50°C above the long-term average in February, a decrease from +1.80°C in January and +1.98°C in December. Climate models predict the El Niño will break down by May, with a transition likely into La Niña later in the year. Despite the weakening, the UN weather agency forecasts above-normal temperatures for March-May due to the residual effects of El Niño. The 2023 El Niño ranks among the five strongest on record and is expected to fuel heat through 2024, although the World Meteorological Organization notes that El Niño alone is not responsible for the global rise in temperatures. The odds of temperatures in the Nino3.4 region being at/below La Nina threshold levels by August are at a 5.1% chance, with an 8.1% chance they could be at/above a 0.8°C anomaly, indicating an El Niño. This past winter's El Niño event ranked as the 8th strongest since the mid-1800s.
El Niño has a long history of causing extreme weather: 1. The 1896 El Niño was one of the strongest on record, per NOAA. https://t.co/BDlyvVkomx 2. As reported by the NYTimes, the national heatwave of August 1896 was quite deadly. https://t.co/zL5r0aiaTN Thanks to fossil… https://t.co/YEEYDEdoLb
The El Nino weather pattern has weakened but will keep the temperatures high, the UN weather agency WMO says https://t.co/XqAyUJ3PLn https://t.co/vGy9aJ6YUU
The El Nino weather pattern has begun to weaken but will continue to fuel above average temperatures across the globe, the World Meteorological Organization said, adding that El Nino alone is not responsible for rising temperatures globally https://t.co/XqAyUJ3hVP https://t.co/jjklJYSqcK
The Niño 3 index now that the cold pool is beginning to surface https://t.co/k0aEE4NiFS
What's next in the climate hoax now that El Niño is fading: 1. Based on the past 40 years of observations, the average global temperature guesstimate will slowly fade until the next El Niño occurs. 2. So despite ever more emissions, there will be no more "global warming" until… https://t.co/yDX6s3CZKy
El Nino weakens but will keep temperatures high, UN weather agency says https://t.co/0kQmsWAo7Y
2023 El Nino Among 5 Strongest On Record, Will Fuel Heat In 2024: Report https://t.co/Ww9gqz6uze https://t.co/l9Q7uO513G
NEW 🚨 Above-normal temperatures for March-May due to El Nino: UN https://t.co/pV65XOfNpu
March-May To Experience Above Normal Temperatures Due To El Nino: UN Weather Agency https://t.co/iVVuZDh6Tn
The Ensemble Oceanic Nino Index (ENS ONI) has been updated through February. Strong El Niño is beginning to fade (as expected) & we will likely transition into La Niña later this year. This past winter's El Niño event ranked as the 8th strongest since the mid-1800s.… https://t.co/NpvWALxllV
Climate models have the El Nino breaking down by May. @bom_au puts odds of temps in the Nino3.4 region of the equatorial Pacific being at/below La Nina threshold levels by August at a 5.1% chance. However, there's an 8.1% chance they could be at/above 0.8C anomaly, eg an El Nino. https://t.co/HOk1FUlsse
EL NIÑO conditions have faded slightly, which is normal in the first quarter of the year. Sea surface temperatures in the central-eastern Pacific (Niño area 3.4) were +1.50°C above the long-term average in February down from +1.80°C in January and +1.98°C in December: https://t.co/p4fcxVXwSP